The September 2021 CIPA numbers are out


CIPA (Camera & Imaging Products Association in Japan) published their camera production data for August 2021 (orange: 2021, black: 2020, blue: 2019):

September 2021 CIPA numbers

September DSLR and Mirrorless body shipments for the month were ahead of August 2021, but substantially behind last September.  For the month, DSLR units were down 31% and Mirrorless units were down 27.7% as compared to September 2020.   

Mirrorless now has a 58% unit share of ILC’s and a 77% shipped value share (of DSLR + Mirrorless).

Based on the first nine months of 2021 and last year’s shipping patterns, we predict a full-year estimate of 6.303 million ILC units shipped compared to:

  • 2020: 5.308 million 
  • 2019: 8.462 million 
  • 2018: 10.76 million 
  • 2017: 11.68 million 

(Canon has predicted a full fiscal year industry estimate of 6 million units and they claim they’ll take 50% of that.  A few months back that 6 million unit number seemed incorrect, but we’re getting closer to it each month, so their analysts have apparently done a good job of predicting the market.)

September 2021 Calendar year-to-date Units & Shipped Value (all comparisons to Jan-Sept 2020):

  • DSLR Units : 1682 +8% YTD
  • DSLR Shipped Value: ¥68.6 billion +6% YTD
  • Mirrorless Units: 2318K  +28% YTD
  • Mirrorless Shipped Value: ¥230 billion +58% YTD
  • Compact Units: 2303K –8% YTD
  • Compact Shipped Value: ¥54.8 billion +2% YTD
  • Lenses for smaller than 35mm Units: 3768K +5% YTD
  • Lenses for smaller than 35mm Shipped Value: ¥57.4 billion +11% YTD
  • Lenses for 35mm and larger Units: 3247K, +36% YTD
  • Lenses for 35mm and larger Shipped Value: ¥182.3 billion +56% YTD
  • Cumulative YTD Mirrorless unit share (of Mirrorless + DSLR): 58% (was 53.6% Jan-Sept 2020)
  • Cumulative YTD Mirrorless Shipped Value share: 77% (was 69.3% Jan-Sept 2020)

The ratio of lenses shipped to bodies shipped is 1.75 for Jan-Sept 2021.  It was 1.78 for Jan-Sept 2020.

September 2021 Calendar year-to-date Geographic Share:

DSLR:

  • Units: China 12.1%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 15.1%, Europe 41.6%, Americas 29.3%, Other 1.9%
  • Shipped Value: China 19.4%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 17.4%, Europe 35.6%, Americas 25.5%, Other 2.1%

Mirrorless:

  • Units: China 24.8%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 15.7%, Europe 27.4%, Americas 28.3%, Other 3.8%
  • Shipped Value: China 27.6%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 15.7%, Europe 23.5%, Americas 29%, Other 4.2%

Compacts:

  • Units: China 11%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 12.9%, Europe 43.1%, Americas 28.9%, Other 4.1%
  • Shipped Value: China 16%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 13.7%, Europe 38.4%, Americas 28.3%, Other 3.5%

Lenses:

  • Units: China 18%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 14%, Europe 34%, Americas 31%, Other 3%
  • Shipped Value: China 20%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 14%, Europe 30%, Americas 32%, Other 4%

List of participating CIPA companies can be found here.
Source: CIPA (thanks ZoetMB), via NikonRumors



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