CIPA October 2021 numbers


The CIPA October 2021 numbers are out (orange: 2021, black: 2020, blue: 2019):

October 2021 CIPA numbers
September DSLR and Mirrorless body shipments for the month were ahead of September 2021, but substantially behind last October. For the month, DSLR units were down 45.5% and Mirrorless units were down 37.8% as compared to October 2020.

Mirrorless now has a 58% unit share of ILC’s and a 77.2% shipped value share (of DSLR + Mirrorless).

Based on the first ten months of 2021 and last year’s shipping patterns, we predict a full year estimate of 5.3 to 5.7 million ILC units shipped compared to:

  • 2020: 5.308 million
  • 2019: 8.462 million
  • 2018: 10.76 million
  • 2017: 11.68 million

That’s down substantially from our last estimate unless November shipments picked up for the holiday season (Canon has predicted a full fiscal year industry estimate of 6 million units and they claim they’ll take 50% of that).

October 2021 Calendar year-to-date Units & Shipped Value:
(All comparisons to Jan-October 2020)

DSLR Units : 1867K –2% YTD
DSLR Shipped Value: ¥76.5 billion –1% YTD

Mirrorless Units: 2577K +16% YTD
Mirrorless Shipped Value: ¥258 billion +42% YTD

Compact Units: 2499K –13% YTD
Compact Shipped Value: ¥59.8 billion -4% YTD

Lenses for smaller than 35mm Units: 4178K –3% YTD
Lenses for smaller than 35mm Shipped Value: ¥64.4 billion +4% YTD

Lenses for 35mm and larger Units: 3733K, +31% YTD
Lenses for 35mm and larger Shipped Value: ¥212.1 billion +52% YTD

Cumulative YTD Mirrorless unit share (of Mirrorless + DSLR): 58% (was 53.9% Jan-Oct 2020)
Cumulative YTD Mirrorless Shipped Value share: 77.2% (was 70.2% Jan-Oct 2020)

The ratio of lenses shipped to bodies shipped is 1.78 for Jan-Oct 2021. It was 1.73 for Jan-Sept 2020.

October 2021 Calendar year-to-date Geographic Share:

DSLR:

  • Units: China 12.3%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 14.2%, Europe 40.6%, Americas 31%, Other 1.9%
  • Shipped Value: China 19.9%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 16.4%, Europe 35.1%, Americas 26.6%, Other 2.1%

Mirrorless:

  • Units: China 25.4%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 15.4%, Europe 27.1%, Americas 28.3%, Other 3.9%
  • Shipped Value: China 28.3%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 15.4%, Europe 23.3%, Americas 28.8%, Other 4.3%

Compacts:

  • Units: China 11%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 12.7%, Europe 42.6%, Americas 29.5%, Other 4.2%
  • Shipped Value: China 16.3%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 13.5%, Europe 38.3%, Americas 28.4%, Other 3.6%

Lenses:

  • Units: China 18%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 13%, Europe 33%, Americas 32%, Other 3%
  • Shipped Value: China 21%, Asia (not incl. China or Japan) 13%, Europe 29%, Americas 32%, Other 4%

List of participating CIPA companies can be found here.
Source: CIPA (thanks ZoetMB) via NikonRumors

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